AUD/USD Outlook July 30 – August 3

| August 5, 2012 | 0 Comments

The Modern australia money obtained over one cent the other day, as AUD/USD shut at 1.0477. The future weeks time has ten produces, such as Developing Mortgage approvals, Store Revenue and Business Stability. Here is an perspective for the Modern australia events, and an modified specialized research for AUD/USD.

The australia took full advantage of some poor US numbers, such as real estate information and lower GDP to create profits against the US money. As well, there is talk of the Federal Source taking financial activity to help the US economic climate, which would hurt the US money.

Updates: HIA New House Revenue had a powerful showing, getting 2.8%. The australia is constantly on the shift up-wards, examining the 1.05 range. AUD/USD was dealing at 1.0497, its highest stage since late Goal. Developing Mortgage approvals dropped by 2.5%, but this was a much better studying than the calculate, which was standing at a 14.6% drop. Personal Industry Credit score obtained 0.3%, a level below the prediction of 0.4%. The australia is constantly on the glow, as it encouraged above the 1.05 range. AUD/USD was dealing at 1.0523. AIG Production Catalog delved to its minimum in three years, publishing a very poor 40.3 factors. HPI obtained 0.5%, surprising the marketplaces which had prediction a 0.5% decrease. It was the first increase since Jan. Chinese suppliers Production PMI remained in good area, but hardly. The key index published a studying of 50.1 factors, a little bit below the calculate of 50.4 factors. AUD/USD remained stable, dealing at 1.0523. Store Revenue, a key signal, registered a obtain of 1%, defeating the calculate of 0.6%. Business Stability surprised the marketplaces by publishing a small extra of 0.01B, as the marketplaces had predicted a lack of 0.36B. It was the first extra registered since Feb. The australia dropped below the 1.05 range, but then retrieved. AUD/USD was dealing at 1.0513.

AUD/USD information with assistance and stage of resistance lines on it. Click to enlarge:

HIA New House Sales: Weekend, Sensitive. This real estate signal is quite unpredictable, with the result that market reports often miss the mark. The signal increased just 0.7% last 30 days, and the marketplaces will be expecting for an enhancement in the September studying.

Building Approvals: Friday, 21:30. Developing Mortgage approvals also tends to demonstrate a lot of movements. The signal sparkled in May, getting 27.3%. However, the marketplaces are forecasting a distinct downturn this 30 days, with an calculate of -15%.

Private Industry Credit: Friday, 21:30. This signal has been very stable recently, with a 0.5% obtain in September. Little modify is predicted in the September studying.

AIG Production Index: Wednesday, 19:30. The index has been below the 50 factor range since Feb, showing continual shrinkage in the manufacturing sector. Will the index display some enhancement this month?

Chinese Production PMI: Wednesday, 21:00. Investors should pay attention to this PMI, as Chinese suppliers is Australia’s number one dealing partner. The index has been above the 50 factor stage throughout 2012, and the marketplaces will be expecting for ongoing development in the Chinese suppliers manufacturing sector.

HPI: Wednesday, 21:30. This every quarter real estate blowing up index has been having since Q3 of 2010, showing continual weak point in the real estate sector. Will the index opposite the pattern and shift into good territory?

Commodity Prices: Wed, 2:30. Investment Costs have been falling for an longer timeframe, showing poor global demand for Modern australia exports. Will the Aug studying opposite the negative trend?

Retail Sales: Wed, 21:30. This key signal increased a moderate 0.5% in the previous studying. The marketplaces are expecting little modify in the Aug studying.

Trade Balance: Wed, 21:30. Modern australia has been recording monthly trade failures since Feb. The marketplaces are forecasting a broader trade lack in Aug.

AIG Solutions Index: Friday, 19:30. This index has been improving recently, although it is still below the 50 range, showing continuing shrinkage in the assistance sector. Will the index push across the 50 range this month?

* All times are GMT

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

AUD/USD started out at 1.0338, and decreased to a low of 1.0177. The couple then retraced, ascending considerably to 1.0487, and shut at 1.0477, just below the stage of resistance range of 1.0482 (discussed last week).

We begin with stage of resistance at 1.0874, which has organised company since last Aug. This is followed by stage of resistance at 1.0718, which last saw activity in Goal. Below, there is stage of resistance at 1.0605, just above the round figure of 1.06. This is followed by stage of resistance at 1.0557, which has organised company since May 2011. Next, the range of 1.0482 is offering poor stage of resistance, just above 1.0477, where the couple ended the weeks time.

The couple is receiving poor assistance at 1.0402. This range had functioned as stage of resistance since May, when AUD/USD went on a distinct fall. Next, 1.0340 is the offering assistance. Below is the range of 1.0230. It has increased as the couple is dealing at higher levels.

The next range of assistance is 1.0174. This range was standing company as AUD/USD decreased considerably during the weeks time. This is followed by assistance at 1.0080, which is now defending the mentally important equality stage. The equality range is the next range of assistance, and was last examined in May. The next assistance stage is 0.9917. This is followed by assistance at 0.9860. This final assistance range for now is 0.9780, which has not been examined since early May.

I am favorable on AUD/USD.

This weeks time was noticeable by a lot of movements by the couple, but the australia did manage to create some profits against the dollar. Given the uncertainty in European countries and slowness in the US economic climate, the Modern australia money could create further profits, especially if the Modern australia economic climate can produce some powerful information.

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fxss%20forexmt4systems%20533 AUD/USD Outlook July 30 – August 3

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Category: AUD/USD FORECAST, WEEKLY FORECASTS

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